Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: MISS
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-08-23 15:07 UTC: 21.4% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: MISS.
Original probability
21.4%
Risk band
ELEVATED
Outcome
MISS
Actual max downside
0.7%
Generated2026-08-23 15:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-08-23 15:00 UTC → 2026-08-24 15:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-08-24 15:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.