Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: HIT
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-09-14 23:07 UTC: 16.7% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: HIT.
Original probability
16.7%
Risk band
LOWER
Outcome
HIT
Actual max downside
7.0%
Generated2026-09-14 23:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-09-14 23:00 UTC → 2026-09-15 23:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-09-15 23:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.