Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: MISS
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-09-15 16:07 UTC: 21.6% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: MISS.
Original probability
21.6%
Risk band
ELEVATED
Outcome
MISS
Actual max downside
2.7%
Generated2026-09-15 16:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-09-15 16:00 UTC → 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-09-16 16:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.