Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: MISS
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-09-15 17:07 UTC: 20.6% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: MISS.
Original probability
20.6%
Risk band
ELEVATED
Outcome
MISS
Actual max downside
2.6%
Generated2026-09-15 17:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-09-15 17:00 UTC → 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-09-16 17:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.