Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: MISS
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-09-21 02:07 UTC: 18.0% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: MISS.
Original probability
18.0%
Risk band
NORMAL
Outcome
MISS
Actual max downside
0.2%
Generated2026-09-21 02:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-09-21 02:00 UTC → 2026-09-22 02:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-09-22 03:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.