Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: HIT
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-09-23 01:07 UTC: 13.8% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: HIT.
Original probability
13.8%
Risk band
LOWER
Outcome
HIT
Actual max downside
4.5%
Generated2026-09-23 01:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-09-23 01:00 UTC → 2026-09-24 01:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-09-24 01:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.