Resolved forward forecast
ETH forecast result: MISS
Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-10-02 16:07 UTC: 16.7% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: MISS.
Original probability
16.7%
Risk band
LOWER
Outcome
MISS
Actual max downside
1.7%
Generated2026-10-02 16:07 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-10-02 16:00 UTC → 2026-10-03 16:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-10-03 17:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.