Resolved forward forecast

ETH forecast result: HIT

Resolved ETH forecast from 2026-10-15 00:11 UTC: 17.7% probability of a 4%+ downside move within 24 hours. Outcome: HIT.

Original probability
17.7%
Risk band
NORMAL
Outcome
HIT
Actual max downside
4.4%
Generated2026-10-15 00:11 UTC
Forecast horizon2026-10-15 00:00 UTC → 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC
TargetETH falls 4%+ within 24h
Resolved2026-10-16 06:07 UTC
The outcome is locked to the original published probability. This result page is generated only after the 24-hour horizon has completed.